Predicting student enrollment trends is increasingly complex. Many communities are experiencing shifts in student numbers due to schools of choice, charter schools, and changing demographics. Michigan Alliance for Student Opportunity, (formerly Middle Cities Education Association) has provided enrollment projection services to school districts across Michigan and throughout the U.S. for over 40 years.

We have updated and refined our computer program to more adequately accommodate the many variables districts must consider when predicting enrollment trends. Using either FTE or headcount data, The Alliance enrollment projection program uses 3 variations of the cohort survival method for projecting enrollment trends. The cohort survival method projects future enrollment based upon survival rates from one grade to the next and uses this data to predict what enrollments will likely be in the future.

The enrollment projection package provides support documentation including accuracy tables based on prior year actual enrollments to allow each district to determine which of the three cohort survival methods has the best predictive power. Also included are charts graphically illustrating future enrollment trends for the three methods, projected pupil:teacher ratios designed to assist districts in assessing future staff and classroom needs, and an interpretation guide.

Cost
In State: $500
Outside of Michigan: $1,000
Expedited Service (within two business days): $250

Group requests available at reduced price

Sample Enrollment Projection & Interpretation Guide

Request an Enrollment Projection Report

2023-24 Enrollment Projection Reports may not
be requested until after first fall count day.

To request an enrollment projection report, please click on the Excel icon to the left. Save the file to your computer, enter your enrollment data for all six years (either FTE or Headcount) and then e-mail the completed form to Patricia Alderman. A PDF of your report and invoice will be emailed to you, usually within two weeks.